The chart below (a companion to this one) shows the SSP Cash Power Index for open House seats. (Our 2Q chart is here.) The same caveats apply:
Many campaigns made final spending decisions before the filing deadline, so cash-on-hand figures may look artificially “low” in some cases. In other words, just looking at the final Cash Power Rankings often won’t give you a complete picture of where things stand. That’s why it’s important to consult our 3Q House fundraising chart in concert with this listing.
This list also does not take into account third-party independent expenditures (you can find that information here) or 527 “electioneering” expenditures (available here), which are another important measure of a race’s competitiveness.
Note: Gary Trauner and Paul Carmouche are listed with multiple prior rankings due to multi-way GOP primaries.
P.S. I think you can see why we moved NY-13 to Safe D, huh?
Cash Power Rank | 2Q Rank | District | Challenger | Party | CoH | Defender | Party | CoH | Cash Power Index |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | NY-13 | McMahon | D | $483 | Straniere | R | $2 | 24,150% |
2 | 10/15/16 | LA-04 | Carmouche | D | $145 | Fleming | R | $5 | 2,900% |
3 | * | MO-09 | Baker | D | $326 | Luetkemeyer | R | $43 | 758% |
4 | 6 | CA-04 | Brown | D | $457 | McClintock | R | $94 | 486% |
5 | 4 | NJ-03 | Adler | D | $1,276 | Myers | R | $288 | 443% |
6 | 5 | NY-25 | Maffei | D | $599 | Sweetland | R | $137 | 437% |
7 | 10/15/16 | LA-04 | Carmouche | D | $145 | Gorman | R | $36 | 403% |
8 | 12 | OH-16 | Boccieri | D | $464 | Schuring | R | $128 | 363% |
9 | 3/8 | WY-AL | Trauner | D | $596 | Lummis | R | $202 | 295% |
10 | 9 | AZ-01 | Kirkpatrick | D | $306 | Hay | R | $124 | 247% |
11 | 2 | NJ-07 | Stender | D | $602 | Lance | R | $258 | 233% |
12 | 27 | AL-05 | Parker | R | $255 | Griffith | D | $127 | 201% |
13 | 13 | IL-11 | Halvorson | D | $275 | Ozinga | R | $176 | 156% |
14 | 14 | OH-15 | Kilroy | D | $570 | Stivers | R | $570 | 100% |
15 | 20 | MN-03 | Madia | D | $995 | Paulsen | R | $1,101 | 90% |
16 | 26 | VA-11 | Connolly | D | $646 | Fimian | R | $719 | 90% |
17 | 24 | OH-07 | Neuhardt | D | $215 | Austria | R | $280 | 77% |
18 | 18 | MD-01 | Kratovil | D | $518 | Harris | R | $749 | 69% |
19 | – | NJ-07 | Hsing | I | $133 | Lance | R | $258 | 52% |
20 | 21 | NM-01 | Heinrich | D | $328 | White | R | $678 | 48% |
21 | 23 | NY-26 | Kryzan | D | $115 | Lee | R | $327 | 35% |
22 | 29 | KY-02 | Boswell | D | $232 | Guthrie | R | $680 | 34% |
23 | 19 | NM-02 | Teague | D | $147 | Tinsley | R | $456 | 32% |
24 | 7 | AL-02 | Bright | D | $66 | Love | R | $307 | 21% |
25 | 11 | OR-05 | Erickson | R | $42 | Schrader | D | $233 | 18% |
26 | 25 | CA-52 | Lumpkin | D | $37 | Hunter | R | $322 | 11% |
27 | 22 | IL-18 | Callahan | D | $53 | Schock | R | $466 | 11% |
28 | 28 | PA-05 | McCracken | D | $8 | Thompson | R | $132 | 6% |
* We did not include MO-09 in our 2Q chart because of large primaries on both sides. Had we included Baker-Leutkemeyer with their CoH at the time, Baker would have ranked 17th at 99%.
He has already thrown over 600K of self-financing into the race and seems to go through his cash fast.
He’ll most likely drop another 300K of his own money in to keep up with Judy Baker in COH. And Dick Cheney is coming to a swank fundraiser for Luetkemeyer today, so Judy Baker still needs to keep the fundraising pressure on him.
I’ll match any contributions to Judy Baker on my ActBlue page (see link below) between now and Wednesday up to $250.
http://www.actblue.com/page/wa…
Lots of interesting races but dammit, why can’t we ever get an independent poll on FL-24? Guess it doesn’t matter, we should be in good shape there.